"Time hole" achievement

[rvm1975]

Toon has dragon mount. 250 saved energy used

https://www.dropbox.com/s/yy70ctxythlj2oa/2017-12-19_23-03-14.mp4?dl=0

[Strider]

So 115 is the magic number

[rvm1975]

So 115 is the magic number

250 - 85 = 165 in this particular case

but it is all about random ... 10 mill energy may give you 1, 2 or 3 "quests"

[Strider]

ahh yes 250, went by so quick! lol

[LaV]

https://drive.google.com/open?id=1zGJ_oFroXS_bL1runKSO5i2lWc1KSq__

It consumed 150 thirst for me, 50% mount aswell

[Leander]

https://drive.google.com/open?id=1zG...SO5i2lWc1KSq__

It consumed 150 thirst for me, 50% mount aswell

Thanks for your video!

[hexblot]

Tried with ~70, ~150, ~250, none worked... finally got it today with 360 stored thirst (always with 50% mount)

[TFO]

I tried 216 thirst with 30% mount and got nothing.

[LaV]

I tried 216 thirst with 30% mount and got nothing.

Assuming you have an even spread of quest durations (at 30% thats {3.5, 7, 10.5, 14} thirst, thus a (3.5+7+10.5+14)/4=8.75 thirst/quest average - multiply that by 25 since you want 25 quests and youre at 218.75 - so at 218.75 thirst in the time machine your odds of getting the achievement are 50%.



I also played around with the numbers a little bit:

You can confirm these numbers with a simple dice probability calculator


Note: This is with a 50% Mount and includes minor rounding errors

Thirst	Probability in %
62.5	0.00
80	0.00
100	0.00
120	0.57
140	14.23
150	36.10
160	63.90
170	85.77
180	96.34
200	99.95
225	100.00
250	100.00

As I said, I'm not sure whether the quest durations are distributed equally. I'm not sure how the time machine handles cases like 0.5 thirst being left and there's probably some other special cases I have not looked into, so the actual probabilities are probably slightly different from my values, but they should be in the right ballpark.


For 30% mounts you can just multiply the thirst number by 1.4. So at 180*1.4=252 thirst you have a 96.34% chance to get the achievement with a 30% mount.

[Exploit]

I don't see why rush this achievement at all. If you have 30% mount, max needed thirst is 350. Get that and be safe.

[sharshooter]

I beg you - add confirmation button to the time machine !!!