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-   -   "Time hole" achievement (http://forum-int.sfgame.net/showthread.php?t=6841)

rvm1975 19th December 2017 09:06 PM

"Time hole" achievement
 
Toon has dragon mount. 250 saved energy used

https://www.dropbox.com/s/yy70ctxyth...03-14.mp4?dl=0

Strider 19th December 2017 10:54 PM

So 115 is the magic number

rvm1975 20th December 2017 08:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BMWGuinness (Post 50799)
So 115 is the magic number

250 - 85 = 165 in this particular case

but it is all about random ... 10 mill energy may give you 1, 2 or 3 "quests"

Strider 20th December 2017 10:55 AM

ahh yes 250, went by so quick! lol

LaV 28th December 2017 11:27 PM

https://drive.google.com/open?id=1zG...SO5i2lWc1KSq__

It consumed 150 thirst for me, 50% mount aswell

Leander 29th December 2017 03:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LaV (Post 51002)
https://drive.google.com/open?id=1zG...SO5i2lWc1KSq__

It consumed 150 thirst for me, 50% mount aswell

Thanks for your video!

hexblot 6th January 2018 06:59 PM

Tried with ~70, ~150, ~250, none worked... finally got it today with 360 stored thirst (always with 50% mount)

TFO 7th January 2018 08:52 AM

I tried 216 thirst with 30% mount and got nothing. ;( ;(

LaV 7th January 2018 01:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TFO (Post 51177)
I tried 216 thirst with 30% mount and got nothing. ;( ;(



Assuming you have an even spread of quest durations (at 30% thats {3.5, 7, 10.5, 14} thirst, thus a (3.5+7+10.5+14)/4=8.75 thirst/quest average - multiply that by 25 since you want 25 quests and youre at 218.75 - so at 218.75 thirst in the time machine your odds of getting the achievement are 50%.



I also played around with the numbers a little bit:

You can confirm these numbers with a simple dice probability calculator


Note: This is with a 50% Mount and includes minor rounding errors
Code:

Thirst        Probability in %
62.5        0.00
80        0.00
100        0.00
120        0.57
140        14.23
150        36.10
160        63.90
170        85.77
180        96.34
200        99.95
225        100.00
250        100.00



As I said, I'm not sure whether the quest durations are distributed equally. I'm not sure how the time machine handles cases like 0.5 thirst being left and there's probably some other special cases I have not looked into, so the actual probabilities are probably slightly different from my values, but they should be in the right ballpark.


For 30% mounts you can just multiply the thirst number by 1.4. So at 180*1.4=252 thirst you have a 96.34% chance to get the achievement with a 30% mount.

Exploit 7th January 2018 06:22 PM

I don't see why rush this achievement at all. If you have 30% mount, max needed thirst is 350. Get that and be safe.


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