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  #1  
Old 19th December 2017, 10:06 PM
rvm1975 rvm1975 is offline
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Post "Time hole" achievement

Toon has dragon mount. 250 saved energy used

https://www.dropbox.com/s/yy70ctxyth...03-14.mp4?dl=0

Last edited by rvm1975; 20th December 2017 at 12:03 PM.
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  #2  
Old 19th December 2017, 11:54 PM
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BMWGuinness BMWGuinness is offline
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So 115 is the magic number
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  #3  
Old 20th December 2017, 09:46 AM
rvm1975 rvm1975 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BMWGuinness View Post
So 115 is the magic number
250 - 85 = 165 in this particular case

but it is all about random ... 10 mill energy may give you 1, 2 or 3 "quests"
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  #4  
Old 20th December 2017, 11:55 AM
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BMWGuinness BMWGuinness is offline
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ahh yes 250, went by so quick! lol
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  #5  
Old 29th December 2017, 12:27 AM
LaV LaV is offline
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https://drive.google.com/open?id=1zG...SO5i2lWc1KSq__

It consumed 150 thirst for me, 50% mount aswell
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  #6  
Old 29th December 2017, 04:22 PM
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Leander Leander is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LaV View Post
https://drive.google.com/open?id=1zG...SO5i2lWc1KSq__

It consumed 150 thirst for me, 50% mount aswell
Thanks for your video!
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  #7  
Old 6th January 2018, 07:59 PM
hexblot hexblot is offline
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Tried with ~70, ~150, ~250, none worked... finally got it today with 360 stored thirst (always with 50% mount)
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  #8  
Old 7th January 2018, 09:52 AM
TFO TFO is offline
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I tried 216 thirst with 30% mount and got nothing.
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  #9  
Old 7th January 2018, 02:57 PM
LaV LaV is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TFO View Post
I tried 216 thirst with 30% mount and got nothing.


Assuming you have an even spread of quest durations (at 30% thats {3.5, 7, 10.5, 14} thirst, thus a (3.5+7+10.5+14)/4=8.75 thirst/quest average - multiply that by 25 since you want 25 quests and youre at 218.75 - so at 218.75 thirst in the time machine your odds of getting the achievement are 50%.



I also played around with the numbers a little bit:

You can confirm these numbers with a simple dice probability calculator


Note: This is with a 50% Mount and includes minor rounding errors
Code:
Thirst	Probability in %
62.5	0.00
80	0.00
100	0.00
120	0.57
140	14.23
150	36.10
160	63.90
170	85.77
180	96.34
200	99.95
225	100.00
250	100.00


As I said, I'm not sure whether the quest durations are distributed equally. I'm not sure how the time machine handles cases like 0.5 thirst being left and there's probably some other special cases I have not looked into, so the actual probabilities are probably slightly different from my values, but they should be in the right ballpark.


For 30% mounts you can just multiply the thirst number by 1.4. So at 180*1.4=252 thirst you have a 96.34% chance to get the achievement with a 30% mount.

Last edited by LaV; 7th January 2018 at 03:06 PM.
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  #10  
Old 7th January 2018, 07:22 PM
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Exploit Exploit is offline
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I don't see why rush this achievement at all. If you have 30% mount, max needed thirst is 350. Get that and be safe.
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